Hi --Whoa! Take a few steps back, and ask yourself who runs a better business? Who is more likely to have the capitalization to provide the infrastructure and support for an aircraft once it is delivered? In my opinion, the Klapmeier boys have a far stronger track record, and have demonstrated a better ability to make the difficult transition from enthusiast-based business to what the accountants would term a going-enterprise. They won. Lancair will follow Mooney.
The above is simply not true - the two companies have followed different business plans from the start. Moreover, Cirrus was a marginally successful kit maker with one design. Lancair is a legend in aircraft design. Both companies have had capitalization problems which have been solved.
If you go back on this forum several months ago, you will find nervous posts about whether or not Cirrus was going to survive. They sell the SR20 at a loss, and then delayed it to sell another model at a profit.
Point of all this? Both companies will do fine. My guess is there will be a lot more CIrri out there for a while, with a more quality control problems that are taken care of by better customer service. Cirrus will be BMW or Mercedes in size. Lancair will be Porsche in size. Both will thrive because Cessna and the rest are as out of touch as GM was in the late 70’s.
Fly both planes, and pick the one you like
Dean, I respectfully disagree, though I suspect our disagreement may be based more on the relative weight we assign to various factors than to a disagreement on the facts. Here are my assumptions:
$100m in capitalization is hard to ignore.
An established service network is also
hard to ignore.
An order book that stretches out several years
A demonstrated ability to build aircraft in
volume is important.
The “best” product does not inevitably win.
Begging the question as to whether Lancair is
better than Cirrus, it is a fact that the
landscape is littered with better ideas that
failed, ranging from Sony Beta video recorders
to Mooneys with Porsche engines.
I simply do not agree that the market will
support a “boutique” manufacturer like
Lancair, when a more business-oriented
endeavor building a very similar product
like Cirrus occupies the same
I hope they both do well, but if I had to
bet my 401K, I’d put my money on DLH.